Fredericks: Virginia Election-Day Predictions

Night of The Living Dead Meets Caucus of the Corn as Democrat Leftist Radicals Storm The Gates

Richmond, VA—By John Fredericks 

The stakes in Virginia’s legislative election today are enormous.

If Democrats win both Houses, it’s likely to be a generational shift, rendering Virginia Republicans to a systemic minority. Regardless of campaign rhetoric, radical elements of the Virginia Democratic Party will likely scrap all efforts at bi-partisanship and redistrict Republicans into oblivion.

Will Virginia GOP’s Virginia Beach Firewall hold? It’s bending…

Virginia State Senate 

Background: Democrats have won 15 statewide races in a row since 2009. That’s a decade. 

Prediction: Democrats take control 21-19 – The Godfather Dick Saslaw becomes Majority Leader

Key Races:

District 10 – Powhatan, Part of Chesterfield and Richmond City 

Ghazala Hashmi (D) over Glenn Sturtevant (R-incumbent) 

This is the epitome of the silliest GOP campaign run this cycle. Does anyone have a clue what Sturtevant stands for? Or care? His television ice cream and soccer ball ads were laughable. We mocked them on our show on a daily basis. He abandoned his base on every key issue and ran clear away from President Trump.

#ShowMeTheMoney Hashmi was not much better, but no one cares about Gov. Northam and blackface anymore. What a pathetic choice. Hashmi wins because Sturtevant loses. This campaign–decrepit of ideas or ideology or substance is an empty shell.

District 13 – Part of Loudoun, and Prince William Counties 

Delegate John Bell (D) over Geary Higgins (R) 
Open seat, Dick Black (R) retiring 

A month ago Bell was up by 20. It’s tightening.

My intel on the ground in Loudoun County is reporting that the Republican candidate in state senate district 13 Geary Higgins, is surging late against huge favorite Delegate John Bell (D).

The reason? Excruciating tolls on 1-66, which Bell championed.

Is Tip O’Neill right?

Bell was up big, but why did he spend $800,000 in the last week? And why did V.P. Joe Biden and former Gov. Terry McAuliffe go to campaign there on Saturday? And why did Higgins get $700,000 from Tommy Norment’s PAC and other Republican senators at the last minute?

For Dems it’s insurance. For GOP it’s a Hail Mary. Bell wins.

District 12 – Part of Henrico and Hanover 

Siobhan Dunnavant (R-incumbent) over Debbie Rodman (D)

There is no truth to the rumor that I’m a hopeless Dunnavant groupie!

She’s delivered thousands of babies in her district.

Bye, Debbie. Nice to know you. You can live vicariously through infanticide Delegate Kathy Tran, dreaming of late third-term abortions…while Sen. Dunnavant keeps delivering babies. Stark choice.

District 7 – Virginia Beach 

Jen Kiggans (R) over Cheryl Turpin (D) 

This is an open seat previously held by GOP’s Frank Wagner, who took a job in the Northam Administration.

A Navy fighter pilot and mom running in Virginia Beach? Kiggans is a rock star, with unlimited Virginia political potential. Turpin is really liberal in a generally conservative pro-Trump district.

Kiggans romps.

District 11 – Amelia, Colonial Heights, Part of Chesterfield 

Amanda Chase (R-incumbent) over Amanda Pohl (D)

Oh, come on. Chase is running for Governor in 2025. Her base loves her, toting guns on her side belt and all! This is a big win for Chase, who overcomes some very serious missteps early in the campaign.

House of Delegates: Republicans hang on: 51-49 

Polls close at 7:00 PM in Virginia. Republicans, hanging on to slim 51-49 majority, GOP will lose three seats off the bat, by 7:20 PM. Then the night becomes tense.

3 Democratic pick-ups: 

District 94 — Shelly Simons (D) over David Yancey (R-incumbent) 
No need for a coin toss.

District 91 – Martha Mugler (D) over Colleen Holcomb (R)

Open seat held by GOP flips. Republicans redistricted into oblivion

District 76 – Clint Jenkins (D) over Chris Jones (R-incumbent) 

Jones got Hotel California steely-knived in a redistricting sham by the Irvine college professor. Back to the Pharmacy.

The field: competitive races – No Change

District 10 — Wendy Gooditis (D-incumbent) over Randy Minchew (R) 

The rematch. Sorry Randy.

District 21 — Kelly Fowler (D-incumbent) over Shannon Kane (R) 

Zzzzzzz. Wake me up when the race is over. Kane’s campaign was a snooze-fest.

District 27 – Roxanne Robinson (R-incumbent) over Larry Barnett (D) 

Great lady. Class, smarts, guts. Wins.

District 28 –Paul Milde (R) over Joshua Cole (D)

Republican Paul Milde defeated incumbent Bob Thomas in a hotly contested primary. Milde squeeks by neophyte Democrat Joshua Cole.

Milde is a better candidate than meets the eye. Folks just plain like the guy. He’s also an unabashed Trump supporter, and a county supervisor.

District 30 – Nick Freitas (R-incumbent) as a write-in candidate over Anne Ridgeway (D) 

Dear Congresswoman Abigail Spanberger: see above. Vote for impeachment, run against Nick. Lose to Nick. It’s the circle of life.

District 31—Elizabeth Guzman (D-incumbent) over D.J. Jordan (R) 

A lot of hype – but you have to play the game. Two yards and a cloud of dust when your down by three touchdowns doesn’t win championships. Throw the ball.

District 40 – Tim Hugo (R-incumbent) over Dan Helmer (D) 

Tim Hugo is the last Republican standing in Northern Virginia.

The Democrats threw the kitchen sink at him in 2017 and came up short.

Hugo has outworked every candidate in Virginia. If the Dem NOVA machine couldn’t beat him in ’17—they can’t beat him in ’19. Hugo hangs on by a thread–again! HUGOMANIA!

District 51 – Hala Ayala (D-incumbent) over Richard Anderson (R) 

Another rematch gone south for the beleaguered NOVA GOP.

District 66 – Speaker Kirk Cox (R-incumbent) over Sheila Bynum-Coleman (D)

Kirk wins handily.  Hard work, knocking on doors every weekend for 20 years (and coaching high school basketball) pays off. Cox is a beast.

He stays as Speaker and saves the Republican Party of Virginia.

District 68—Dawn Adams (D-incumbent) over Garrison Coward (R)

Adams is tough. Sorry Garrison, you ran against the Dems best candidate in Central Virginia.

District 72—Schuyler VanValkenburg (D-incumbent) over GayDonna Vandergriff (R) 

Battle of the Dutch!

GayDonna’s campaign, once promising, is a train wreck.

District 75—Roz Tyler (D-incumbent) over H.Otto Wachsmann (R) 

Oooh, Dems dodged a bullet here. Not in ’21. Enjoy it while you can, Roz. Maybe I should move there and run?

Nah, I’d rather be in Bannon’s basement.

District 83 – Chris Stolle (R-incumbent) over Nancy Guy (D)

Never bet against a Stolle in Virginia Beach. Ever. Stolle’s last attack ad on Guy was devastating. I laughed my tail off every time I watched it! Classic!

District 84—Glenn Davis (R-incumbent) over Karen Mallard (D) 

Seriously, folks? This was never close. Glenn Davis is always underestimated by everybody. Except Godzilla of Truth.

District 100 – Rob Bloxom (R-incumbent) over Phillip Hernandez (D) 

Happy Holidays to the Eastern Shore, With Love: The Bloxom Family

Republican Pick-ups 

District 50: Ian Lovejoy (R) over #CommyLee Carter from the #CCCP (D)

Even Bernie Sanders can’t help the Communist Party of Virginia

District 73–Mary Margaret Kastelberg (R) over Rodney Willet (D)

This is an open seat, held by Debbie Rodman (D) who is running for state senate. MMK is a great candidate who has campaigned vigorously. Great future in GOP.

District 85—Rocky Holcomb (R) over Alex Askew (D) 

Rocky comes back from nasty fake racist smears in 2017 and wins his seatback. See, Rocky there is a God.

UPSET SPECIAL! John Whitbeck wins Loudoun County Chairman of Supervisors, breaking Dem’s hold on the trending blue NOVA county. 

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